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  1. How to Make Decisions in An Uncertain World: Heuristics, Biases, and Risk Perception.Mauro Maldonato & Silvia Dell’Orco - 2011 - World Futures 67 (8):569 - 577.
    From the seventies onward a large quantity of theoretical and empirical studies have investigated the heuristic principles and cognitive strategies that individuals use to deal with risky and uncertain situations. This research has shown how the explicative and predictive shortcomings of normative risk analysis depend in many respects on undervaluing the continuous interaction between the individual and the environment. There are factors that, day by day, represent significant obstacles to decision making.
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  • Decisions Under Temporal AND Emotional Pressure: The Hidden Relationships Between the Unconscious, Personality, and Cognitive Styles.Silvia Dell’Orco, Anna Esposito, Raffaele Sperandeo & Nelson Mauro Maldonato - 2019 - World Futures 75 (4):260-273.
    The existence of an unaware psychic space that influences the way we think, perceive, and decide has been known for over a century. This space, defined by Freud as the “unconscious,” contains in it...
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  • The Origin of Foresight.Martin Amsteus - 2012 - World Futures 68 (6):390 - 405.
    The purpose of this article is to develop a framework for the origin of foresight. Following a review of arguments for foresight as genetically inherited versus environmentally acquired, the understanding of foresight is expanded through a behaviorist perspective and through an evolutionary perspective. The framework established makes it possible to deploy evolutionary logic to explain foresight as well as to enhance our understanding of foresight, both on individual (e.g., managerial) and aggregated (e.g., organizational) levels.
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