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The work with this paper has been supported by a research project on future studies sponsored by the Planning Division of the Research Institute of Swedish National Defence (FOA P). I wish to thank Professor Eckhart Zwicker for extensive and constructive criticism of earlier versions of this paper.
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Gärdenfors, P. Dynamic models as tools for forecasting and planning: A presentation and some methodological aspects. Theor Decis 14, 237–273 (1982). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00133675
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00133675