If the base rate fallacy is a fallacy, does it matter how frequently it is committed?
Behavioral and Brain Sciences 20 (4):774-775 (1997)
| Abstract | In many base rate studies, a judgment is required for which the base rates are relevant, and subjects do not use them. It is inferred that the base rates are ignored; I question this inference. Second, I argue that the base rate fallacy is not less significant for what it reveals about human reasoning, if it occurs less frequently than has been alleged. | |||||||||
| Keywords | No keywords specified (fix it) | |||||||||
| Categories | No categories specified (fix it) | |||||||||
| Options |
|
|||||||||
Download options| PhilPapers Archive |
Upload a copy of this paper Check publisher's policy on self-archival Papers currently archived: 5,631 |
| External links |
 |
| Through your library | Configure |
Similar books and articlesJames Logue (1997). Resiliency, Robustness and Rationality of Probability Judgements. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 11 (1):21 – 34.
Adam S. Goodie (1997). Direct Experience is Ecologically Valid. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 20 (4):777-778.
Christopher R. Wolfe (2007). Adaptive Redundancy, Denominator Neglect, and the Base-Rate Fallacy. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 30 (3):286-287.
Aris Spanos (2010). Is Frequentist Testing Vulnerable to the Base-Rate Fallacy? Philosophy of Science 77 (4):565-583.
Laura Macchi (1997). Pragmatically Before Ecologically Valid Tasks. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 20 (4):778-779.
P. D. Magnus & Craig Callender (2004). Realist Ennui and the Base Rate Fallacy. Philosophy of Science 71 (3):320-338.
Jonathan J. Koehler (1997). A Farewell to Normative Null Hypothesis Testing in Base Rate Research. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 20 (4):780-782.
Ranald R. Macdonald (1997). Base Rates and Randomness. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 20 (4):778-778.
Brian J. Gibbs (1997). Evolving Null Hypotheses and the Base Rate Fallacy: A Functional Interpretation of Scientific Myth. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 20 (4):776-777.
Analytics
Monthly downloads |
Added to index2009-01-28Total downloads9 ( #113,901 of 548,973 )Recent downloads (6 months)1 ( #63,511 of 548,973 )How can I increase my downloads? |
My notes
Discussion
