Expectations and Choiceworthiness
Mind 120 (479):803-817 (2011)
| Abstract | The Pasadena game is an example of a decision problem which lacks an expected value, as traditionally conceived. Easwaran (2008) has shown that, if we distinguish between two different kinds of expectations, which he calls ‘strong’ and ‘weak’, the Pasadena game lacks a strong expectation but has a weak expectation. Furthermore, he argues that we should use the weak expectation as providing a measure of the value of an individual play of the Pasadena game. By considering a modified version of the Pasadena game, I argue that weak expectations may provide a very poor measure of the value of an individual play of the game, and hence should not be used to value individual plays unless further information is taken into consideration | |||||||||
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Kenny Easwaran (2008). Strong and Weak Expectations. Mind 117 (467):633-641.
Alan Hájek & Harris Nover (2008). Complex Expectations. Mind 117 (467):643 - 664.
J. Sprenger & R. Heesen (2011). The Bounded Strength of Weak Expectations. Mind 120 (479):819-832.
Alan Hájek & Harris Nover (2006). Perplexing Expectations. Mind 115 (459):703 - 720.
Harris Nover & Alan Hájek (2004). Vexing Expectations. Mind 113 (450):237-249.
Alan G. Sanfey (2009). Expectations and Social Decision-Making: Biasing Effects of Prior Knowledge on Ultimatum Responses. Mind and Society 8 (1):93-107.
Alan Baker (2007). Putting Expectations in Order. Philosophy of Science 74 (5):692-700.
Mark Colyvan (2006). No Expectations. Mind 115 (459):695-702.
Terrence L. Fine (2008). Evaluating the Pasadena, Altadena, and St Petersburg Gambles. Mind 117 (467):613-632.
Mark Colyvan (2008). Relative Expectation Theory. Journal of Philosophy 105 (1):37-44.
Daryl Koehn (1997). Business and Game-Playing: The False Analogy. Journal of Business Ethics 16 (12-13):1447-1452.
Alan Hájek & Michael Smithson (2012). Rationality and Indeterminate Probabilities. Synthese 187 (1):33-48.
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