Graduate studies at Western
Thinking and Reasoning 13 (1):62 – 80 (2007)
|Abstract||Two studies explore the frequently reported finding that affective forecasts are too extreme. In the first study, driving test candidates forecast the emotional consequences of failing. Test failers overestimated the duration of their disappointment. Greater previous experience of this emotional event did not lead to any greater accuracy of the forecasts, suggesting that learning about one's own emotions is difficult. Failers' self-assessed chances of passing were lower a week after the test than immediately prior to the test; this difference correlated with the magnitude of individual immediate disappointments, suggesting the presence of a cognitive strategy for recovering from disappointments. A second study investigated the theory that undue focus on the differences between present and future biases affective forecasts. “Defocusing” that induced low-level construals of the future reduced the extremeness of affective forecasts but a higher-level construal did not. We conclude that a focusing effect may bias affective forecasts.|
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
|Through your library||Configure|
Similar books and articles
Richard P. Nielsen (1998). Can Ethical Character Be Stimulated And Enabled? Business Ethics Quarterly 8 (3):581-604.
Diego Fernandez-Duque, “Feeling More Regret Than I Would Have Imagined”: Self-Report and Behavioral Evidence.
Nigel Harvey Teresa Ewart Robert West (1997). Effects of Data Noise on Statistical Judgement. Thinking and Reasoning 3 (2):111 – 132.
Alexander Heinzel & Georg Northoff (2009). Emotional Feeling and the Orbitomedial Prefrontal Cortex: Theoretical and Empirical Considerations. Philosophical Psychology 22 (4):443 – 464.
Georg Northoff & Alexander Heinzel (2009). Emotional Feeling and the Orbitomedial Prefrontal Cortex: Theoretical and Empirical Considerations. Philosophical Psychology 22 (4):443-464.
Demian Whiting (2006). Standing Up for an Affective Account of Emotion. Philosophical Explorations 9 (3):261-276.
Niels Hammer (2008). Affective States and Indian Asthetics. Mind and Matter 6 (2):147-177.
Nigel Harvey (2007). Use of Heuristics: Insights From Forecasting Research. Thinking and Reasoning 13 (1):5 – 24.
Andrea Scarantino (2009). Core Affect and Natural Affective Kinds. Philosophy of Science 76 (5).
Robert S. Goldfarb, H. O. Stekler & Joel David (2005). Methodological Issues in Forecasting: Insights From the Egregious Business Forecast Errors of Late 1930. Journal of Economic Methodology 12 (4):517-542.
Added to index2009-01-28
Total downloads33 ( #42,152 of 749,720 )
Recent downloads (6 months)1 ( #62,892 of 749,720 )
How can I increase my downloads?