Self-location is no problem for conditionalization

Synthese 182 (3):393-411 (2011)
Abstract
How do temporal and eternal beliefs interact? I argue that acquiring a temporal belief should have no effect on eternal beliefs for an important range of cases. Thus, I oppose the popular view that new norms of belief change must be introduced for cases where the only change is the passing of time. I defend this position from the purported counter-examples of the Prisoner and Sleeping Beauty. I distinguish two importantly different ways in which temporal beliefs can be acquired and draw some general conclusions about their impact on eternal beliefs
Keywords Self-locating belief  Conditionalization  The Prisoner  Sleeping Beauty
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