Monty hall, doomsday and confirmation

Analysis 63 (277):23–31 (2003)
We give an analysis of the Monty Hall problem purely in terms of confirmation, without making any lottery assumptions about priors. Along the way, we show the Monty Hall problem is structurally identical to the Doomsday Argument.
Keywords Doomsday Argument  Monty Hall  Confirmation
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Dan Moller (2011). A Simple Argument Against Design. Religious Studies 47 (4):513 - 520.
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