The Design Inference: Eliminating Chance through Small Probabilities

The design inference uncovers intelligent causes by isolating the key trademark of intelligent causes: specified events of small probability. Just about anything that happens is highly improbable, but when a highly improbable event is also specified (i.e., conforms to an independently given pattern) undirected natural causes lose their explanatory power. Design inferences can be found in a range of scientific pursuits from forensic science to research into the origins of life to the search for extraterrestrial intelligence.
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Peter Milne (2001). The Design Inference: Eliminating Chance Through Small Probabilities. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 52 (4):801-808.
Elliott Sober (2002). Intelligent Design and Probability Reasoning. International Journal for Philosophy of Religion 52 (2):65-80.

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