From Cosmos to Chaos: The Science of Unpredictability
Oxford University Press (2006)
| Abstract | Cosmology has undergone a revolution in recent years. The exciting interplay between astronomy and fundamental physics has led to dramatic revelations, including the existence of the dark matter and the dark energy that appear to dominate our cosmos. But these discoveries only reveal themselves through small effects in noisy experimental data. Dealing with such observations requires the careful application of probability and statistics. But it is not only in the arcane world of fundamental physics that probability theory plays such an important role. It has an impact in many aspects of our everyday life, from the law courts to the lottery. Why then do so few people understand probability? And why do so few people understand why it is so important for science? Why do so many people think that science is about absolute certainty when, at its core, it is actually dominated by uncertainty? This book attempts to explain the basics of probability theory, and illustrate their application across the entire spectrum of science. | |||||||||
| Keywords | Science Methodology Science Forecasting Probabilities | |||||||||
| Categories | ||||||||||
| Buy the book | $25.60 direct from Amazon (6% off) Amazon page | |||||||||
| Call number | Q175.C6155 2006 | |||||||||
| ISBN(s) | 0198567626 0199588147 9780198567622 | |||||||||
| Options |
|
|||||||||
| PhilPapers Archive |
Upload a copy of this paper Check publisher's policy on self-archival Papers currently archived: 5,701 |
| External links |
|
| Through your library | Configure |
Roger M. Cooke (1991). Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science. Oxford University Press.
David Stump (1992). Naturalized Philosophy of Science with a Plurality of Methods. Philosophy of Science 59 (3):456-460.
Stephen H. Kellert (1992). A Philosophical Evaluation of the Chaos Theory "Revolution". PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1992:33 - 49.
P. C. W. Davies (2007). The Matter Myth: Dramatic Discoveries That Challenge Our Understanding of Physical Reality. Simon & Schuster.
Robert C. Stalnaker (1970). Probability and Conditionals. Philosophy of Science 37 (1):64-80.
Sr Copeland (1966). Mathematical Proof and Experimental Proof. Philosophy of Science 33 (4):303-.
Spencer Scoular (2008). First Science: The Missing Science, the Theory of Everything, and the Arrow of Time. Universal Publishers.
Charlotte Werndl (2009). What Are the New Implications of Chaos for Unpredictability? British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 60 (1):195-220.
Ota Sulc (1977). Methodology of Forecasting Complex Development Processes of the Scientific and Technological Revolution. Centre for the Study of Science, Technology, and Develop[Ment], Council of Scientific and Industrial Research.
Clark Glymour (2001). Instrumental Probability. The Monist 84 (2):284-300.
Monthly downloads |
Added to index2009-01-28Total downloads18 ( #67,558 of 549,093 )Recent downloads (6 months)1 ( #63,317 of 549,093 )How can I increase my downloads? |

