David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Ezio Di Nucci
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Synthese 76 (2):263-283 (1988)
We model the evolution of international conflict as a game of sequential decisions and show that arms races are neither necessary nor sufficient for peace or war. Peaceful intentions are not adequate to insure peace, even when both rivals wish to avoid violence. Peaceful intentions together with complete information are sufficient for peace. A preference for forcefully pursuing foreign policy goals also is not sufficient to preclude the peaceful resolution of disputes, and this is true even if there is complete information. In some circumstances, the absence of an arms race can precipitate violence, even giving the military advantage to a nation that unilaterally stopped getting ready for a war it would initiate. Finally, we also show that empirical research is likely to be biased in favor of the hypothesis that deterrence leads to peace.
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
No citations found.
Similar books and articles
Gilles D. Hurteau (1989). Global Peace as a Professional Concern, II. Journal of Business Ethics 8 (2-3):173 - 175.
Yigal Levin & Amnon Shapira (eds.) (2011). War and Peace in Jewish Tradition: From the Biblical World to the Present. Routledge.
Heinz Duchhardt (1981). War and Peace in Peace Treaties. A Universal-Historical Study on the Bases and Formal Elements of the Conclusion of Peace. Philosophy and History 14 (2):170-171.
Vic Razis (1998). Arms Reduction and Global Reconstruction: Can Tanks Be Beaten Into Tractors? [REVIEW] Journal of Business Ethics 17 (1):1 - 5.
Andrew G. Long, Timothy Nordstrom & Kyeonghi Baek, Allying for Peace: Treaty Obligations and Conflict Between Allies.
Alison Bailey (1994). Review: Mothering, Diversity, and Peace Politics. [REVIEW] Hypatia 9 (2):188 - 198.
James D. Sellmann (2009). Asian Insights on Violence and Peace. Asian Philosophy 19 (2):159 – 171.
Bruce Bueno De Mesquita & David Lalman (1988). Arms Races and the Opportunity for Peace. Synthese 76 (2):263 - 283.
Added to index2009-01-28
Total downloads8 ( #368,535 of 1,789,998 )
Recent downloads (6 months)5 ( #167,785 of 1,789,998 )
How can I increase my downloads?