Diachronic dutch books and sleeping beauty

Synthese 164 (2):281 - 287 (2008)
Hitchcock advances a diachronic Dutch Book argument (DDB) for a 1/3 answer to the Sleeping Beauty problem. Bradley and Leitgeb argue that Hitchcock’s DDB argument fails. We demonstrate the following: (a) Bradley and Leitgeb’s criticism of Hitchcock is unconvincing; (b) nonetheless, there are serious reasons to worry about the success of Hitchcock’s argument; (c) however, it is possible to construct a new DDB for 1/3 about which such worries cannot be raised.
Keywords Sleeping Beauty  Christopher Hitchcock  Dutch Book argument
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DOI 10.2307/40271060
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