World Futures 68 (7):506 - 517 (2012)
|Abstract||This article analyzes some prospects for the economic and political development of the United States and China. The first part of the article is devoted to the consideration of strengths and weaknesses of the U.S. model and of the Chinese one. The second part of the article considers the most probable scenarios of the future struggle for world leadership. The first scenario suggests that China will continue developing at a faster rate in the several coming decades and will be gradually catching up with the United States in terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) production. However, after several crises in 2008?2020 the United States will likely regain a number of advantages over China as a result of assimilation of the newest technologies. The second scenario suggests that the United States will come across a whole range of internal social and political problems related to internal political splits. In this case, the United States will have to share its global leadership with China. The article attempts to answer the following questions: What scenario is more probable? Will the old world order change? What are the main conclusions for the European Union and for Russia?|
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
|Through your library||Configure|
Similar books and articles
Leonid Grinin & Andrey Korotayev (2011). The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions: Possible Scenarios of the Near Future. World Futures 67 (8):531 - 563.
Xiaohe Lu (2009). A Chinese Perspective: Business Ethics in China Now and in the Future. [REVIEW] Journal of Business Ethics 86 (4):451 - 461.
Nadine Godehardt, The Chinese Meaning of Just War and its Impact on the Foreign Policy of the People's Republic of China.
B. Frydman, L. Hennebel & Gregory Lewkowicz, Public Strategies for Internet Co-Regulation in the United States, Europe and China.
R. Wang, M. Wise & C. D. (1998). The Culture of Quantum Chaos. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B 29 (3):369-389.
F. Sisci (2009). Under the Same Sky: A New World-View From China. Diogenes 56 (1):74-82.
Ken Bausch (2004). Hegemony in Two Paradigms. World Futures 60 (1 & 2):39 – 51.
Peter J. Li (2009). Exponential Growth, Animal Welfare, Environmental and Food Safety Impact: The Case of China's Livestock Production. [REVIEW] Journal of Agricultural and Environmental Ethics 22 (3):217-240.
Minqi Li (2005). The Rise of China and the Demise of the Capitalist World-Economy: Exploring Historical Possibilities in the 21st Century. Science and Society 69 (3):420 - 448.
Weiqin Zeng & David Resnik (2010). Research Integrity in China: Problems and Prospects. Developing World Bioethics 10 (3):164-171.
Ian Davies (2009). Latino Immigration and Social Change in the United States: Toward an Ethical Immigration Policy. [REVIEW] Journal of Business Ethics 88 (2):377 - 391.
Tony Fang, Caroline Gunterberg & Emma Larsson (2010). Sourcing in an Increasingly Expensive China: Four Swedish Cases. [REVIEW] Journal of Business Ethics 97 (1):119 - 138.
Sorry, there are not enough data points to plot this chart.
Added to index2012-09-15
Recent downloads (6 months)0
How can I increase my downloads?