Counterexamples to a likelihood theory of evidence

Minds and Machines 16 (3):319-338 (2006)
The likelihood theory of evidence (LTE) says, roughly, that all the information relevant to the bearing of data on hypotheses (or models) is contained in the likelihoods. There exist counterexamples in which one can tell which of two hypotheses is true from the full data, but not from the likelihoods alone. These examples suggest that some forms of scientific reasoning, such as the consilience of inductions (Whewell, 1858. In Novum organon renovatum (Part II of the 3rd ed.). The philosophy of the inductive sciences. London: Cass, 1967), cannot be represented within Bayesian and Likelihoodist philosophies of science.
Keywords The likelihood principle  The law of likelihood  Evidence  Bayesianism  Likelihoodism  Curve fitting  Regression  Asymmetry of cause and effect
Categories (categorize this paper)
DOI 10.1007/s11023-006-9038-y
 Save to my reading list
Follow the author(s)
My bibliography
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Revision history Request removal from index
Download options
PhilPapers Archive

Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy on self-archival     Papers currently archived: 19,981
External links
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
Through your library
References found in this work BETA
Deborah G. Mayo (2001). Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 15 (1):455-459.

View all 20 references / Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

Add more citations

Similar books and articles
Steven Orla Kimbrough (1980). On the Use of Likelihood as a Guide to Truth. PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1980:117 - 128.
Barry Loewer, Robert Laddaga & Roger Rosenkrantz (1978). On The Likelihood Principle and a Supposed Antinomy. PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1978:279 - 286.

Monthly downloads

Added to index


Total downloads

60 ( #69,087 of 1,792,844 )

Recent downloads (6 months)

22 ( #36,117 of 1,792,844 )

How can I increase my downloads?

My notes
Sign in to use this feature

Start a new thread
There  are no threads in this forum
Nothing in this forum yet.