David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 9 (1):37-58 (1995)
Abstract Reichenbach emphasizes the central importance of prediction, which is?for him?the principal aim of science. This paper offers a critical reconstruction of his concept of prediction, taking into account the different periods of his thought. First, prediction is studied as a key factor in rejecting the positivism of the Vienna Circle. This part of the discussion concentres on the general features of prediction before Experience and Prediction (EP) (section 1). Second, prediction is considered in the context of Reichenbach's disagreements with his contemporaries?Carnap and Popper?(section 2). Pointing out these differences gives an additional basis for understanding how Reichenbach saw ?prediction? in the period when EP was written. Third, Reichenbach's theoretical framework of prediction is analysed following EP. This analysis studies the semantical, logical, epistemological and methodological bases of his concept of prediction (section 3). Fourth, Reichenbach's conception of prediction, based on an objectivist interpretation of probabilities, is compared with the perspective on prediction of subjective Bayesians (the present personalists). This comparison (section 4) illustrates Reichenbach's views regarding the links of prediction with probability. Fifth, innovations and elements of continuity after EP are noted which give a more complete picture of Reichenbach's thought on prediction (section 5). This contributes to a comprehensive characterization of his concept of prediction. Finally, there is an assessment of his whole view of the matter and a presentation of the ingredients for a satisfactory alternative (section 6)
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
Peter Spirtes, Clark Glymour & Richard Scheines (1996). Causation, Prediction, and Search. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 47 (1):113-123.
John Earman (1992). Bayes or Bust? Bradford.
Rudolf Carnap (1936). Testability and Meaning. Philosophy of Science 3 (4):419-471.
Citations of this work BETA
Wenceslao J. Gonzalez (2013). Scientific Prediction in the Beginning of the “Historical Turn”: Stephen Toulmin and Thomas Kuhn. Open Journal of Philosophy 3 (2):351-357.
Similar books and articles
Wenceslao J. González (1995). Reichenbach's Concept of Prediction. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 9 (1):37 – 58.
Maria Carla Galavotti (2011). On Hans Reichenbach's Inductivism. Synthese 181 (1):95 - 111.
Wenceslao J. Gonzalez (2001). Lakatos's Approach on Prediction and Novel Facts. Theoria 16 (3):499-518.
John Byron Manchak (2008). Is Prediction Possible in General Relativity? Foundations of Physics 38 (4):317-321.
Wenceslao J. Gonz (1995). Reichenbach's Concept of Prediction. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 9 (1):37 – 58.
John Canfield & Keith Lehrer (1961). A Note on Prediction and Deduction. Philosophy of Science 28 (2):204-208.
Friedrich Stadler (2011). The Road to "Experience and Prediction" From Within: Hans Reichenbach's Scientific Correspondence From Berlin to Istanbul. Synthese 181 (1):137 - 155.
Regina Pally (2005). Non-Conscious Prediction and a Role for Consciousness in Correcting Prediction Errors. Cortex. Special Issue 41 (5):643-662.
Sorin Bangu (2008). Reifying Mathematics? Prediction and Symmetry Classification. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B 39 (2):239-258.
Elliott Sober (2011). Reichenbach's Cubical Universe and the Problem of the External World. Synthese 181 (1):3 - 21.
Gerhard Schurz (2008). The Meta-Inductivist's Winning Strategy in the Prediction Game: A New Approach to Hume's Problem. Philosophy of Science 75 (3):278-305.
Eleanor Bisbee (1938). A World of Probability. [REVIEW] Philosophy of Science 5 (3):360 - 366.
Wenceslao J. Gonzalez (1998). Prediction and Prescription in Economics: A Philosophical and Methodological Approach. Theoria 13 (2):321-345.
Lee C. McIntyre (2001). Accomodation, Prediction, and Confirmation. Perspectives on Science 9 (3):308-323.
Added to index2010-09-14
Total downloads7 ( #292,059 of 1,725,579 )
Recent downloads (6 months)3 ( #211,098 of 1,725,579 )
How can I increase my downloads?