David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
World Futures 67 (8):531 - 563 (2011)
This article analyzes some important aspects of socioeconomic and political development of the world in the near future. The future always stems from the present. The first part of the article is devoted to the study of some crucial events of the present, which could be regarded as precursors of forthcoming fundamental changes. In particular, it is shown that the turbulent events of late 2010 and 2011 in the Arab World may well be regarded as a start of the global reconfiguration. The article also offers an analysis of some aspects of the global financial system that, according to the authors, notwithstanding all its negative points, performs certain important positive functions including the ?insurance? of social guaranties at the global scale. The second part of the article considers some global scenarios of the World System's new future and describes a few characteristics of the forthcoming ?Epoch of New Coalitions.? The article attempts to answer such questions as the following: What are the implications of the economic weakening of the United States as the World System center? Will the future World System have a leader? Will it experience a global governance deficit? Will the world fragmentation increase?
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
No citations found.
Similar books and articles
Leonid Grinin & Andrey Korotayev (2010). Will the Global Crisis Lead to Global Transformations? 2. The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions. Journal of Globalization Studies 1 (2):166-183.
Leonid Grinin & Andrey Korotayev (2012). Does “Arab Spring” Mean The Beginning Of World System Reconfiguration? World Futures 68 (7):471 - 505.
Leonid Grinin (2012). Macrohistory and Globalization. Uchitel Publishing House.
Alexander Dynkin & Vladimir Pantin (2012). A Peaceful Clash: The U.S. And China: Which Model Holds Out Promise For The Future? World Futures 68 (7):506 - 517.
Christopher Chase-Dunn (2007). Sociocultural Evolution and the Future of World Society. World Futures 63 (5 & 6):408 – 424.
Alberto Martinelli (2007). Evolution From World System to World Society? World Futures 63 (5 & 6):425 – 442.
Leonid Grinin, Peter Herrmann, Andrey Korotayev & Arno Tausch (eds.) (2010). History & Mathematics: Processes and Models of Global Dynamics.
Bruce Mazlish & Ralph Buultjens (eds.) (1993/2004). Conceptualizing Global History. New Global History Press.
Masudul Alam Choudhury (2011). The Future Models of Arab Political Economy. World Futures 67 (6):437 - 448.
Leonid Grinin & Andrey Korotayev (2009). Social Macroevolution: Growth of the World System Integrity and a System of Phase Transitions. World Futures 65 (7):477 – 506.
Andrey Korotayev & Leonid Grinin (2009). Social Macroevolution: Growth of the World System Integrity and a System of Phase Transitions. World Futures 65 (7):477-506.
Marina Čarnogurská (2007). Chinese Philosophy Through a Prism of Its Classical Ontological Conception in the Future Global Context. The Proceedings of the Twenty-First World Congress of Philosophy 7:157-160.
Hans Küng (1997/1998). A Global Ethic for Global Politics and Economics. Oxford University Press.
Added to index2011-11-09
Total downloads10 ( #167,973 of 1,679,298 )
Recent downloads (6 months)1 ( #183,420 of 1,679,298 )
How can I increase my downloads?