David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Theory and Decision 61 (4):319-328 (2006)
In standard belief models, priors are always common knowledge. This prevents such models from representing agents’ probabilistic beliefs about the origins of their priors. By embedding standard models in a larger standard model, however, pre-priors can describe such beliefs. When an agent’s prior and pre-prior are mutually consistent, he must believe that his prior would only have been diﬀerent in situations where relevant event chances were diﬀerent, but that variations in other agents’ priors are otherwise completely unrelated to which events are how likely. Due to this, Bayesians who agree enough about the origins of their priors must have the same priors
|Keywords||origin common prior disagree Bayesian|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
Stephen Morris (1995). The Common Prior Assumption in Economic Theory. Economics and Philosophy 11 (02):227-.
W. J. Talbott (1990). The Reliability of the Cognitive Mechanism: A Mechanist Account of Empirical Justification. Garland.
Citations of this work BETA
Adam Elga (2007). Reflection and Disagreement. Noûs 41 (3):478–502.
Similar books and articles
József Sákovics (2001). Games of Incomplete Information Without Common Knowledge Priors. Theory and Decision 50 (4):347-366.
Cesaltina Pacheco Pires (2002). A Rule For Updating Ambiguous Beliefs. Theory and Decision 53 (2):137-152.
Joel D. Velasco (2008). The Prior Probabilities of Phylogenetic Trees. Biology and Philosophy 23 (4):455-473.
John Skilling (1985). Prior Probabilities. Synthese 63 (1):1 - 34.
Michael Kruse (1999). Beyond Bayesianism: Comments on Hellman's "Bayes and Beyond". Philosophy of Science 66 (1):165-174.
Tyler Cowen & Robin Hanson (forthcoming). Are Disagreements Honest. Journal of Economic Methodology.
Patrick Suppes (2007). Where Do Bayesian Priors Come From? Synthese 156 (3):441 - 471.
Added to index2009-01-28
Total downloads14 ( #184,535 of 1,727,288 )
Recent downloads (6 months)3 ( #231,316 of 1,727,288 )
How can I increase my downloads?