David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Ezio Di Nucci
Jonathan Jenkins Ichikawa
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. But on uninteresting topics, surprising claims usually are surprising evidence; we rarely make claims without suﬃ- cient evidence. On interesting topics, however, we can have interests in exaggerating or downplaying our evidence, and our actions often deviate from our interests. In a simple model of noisy humans reporting on extraordinary evidence, we ﬁnd that extraordinary claims from low noise people are extraordinary evidence, but such claims from high noise people are not; their claims are more likely unusual noise than unusual truth. When people are organized into a reporting chain, noise levels grow exponentially with chain length; long chains seem incapable of communicating extraordinary evidence
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
No categories specified
(categorize this paper)
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library||
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
No citations found.
Similar books and articles
Robert Greg Cavin (1995). Is There Sufficient Historical Evidence to Establish the Resurrection of Jesus? Faith and Philosophy 12 (3):361-379.
Janet Levin (2007). Can Modal Intuitions Be Evidence for Essentialist Claims? Inquiry 50 (3):253 – 269.
Anne D. Birdwhistell (1989). Transition to Neo-Confucianism: Shao Yung on Knowledge and Symbols of Reality. Stanford University Press.
Phyllis McKay Illari (2011). Mechanistic Evidence: Disambiguating the Russo–Williamson Thesis. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 25 (2):139 - 157.
Carrie-Ann Biondi (2008). The Power of Critical Thinking: Effective Reasoning About Ordinary and Extraordinary Claims, 2nd Edition. Teaching Philosophy 31 (1):87-90.
Clifton Perry (1983). Ordinary, Extraordinary and Neutral Medical Treatment. Theoretical Medicine and Bioethics 4 (1).
Added to index2009-01-28
Total downloads26 ( #182,920 of 1,902,539 )
Recent downloads (6 months)8 ( #113,834 of 1,902,539 )
How can I increase my downloads?