David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 59 (3):429-453 (2008)
Scientific theories are developed in response to a certain set of phenomena and subsequently evaluated, at least partially, in terms of the quality of fit between those same theories and appropriately distinctive phenomena. To differentiate between these two stages it is popular to describe the former as involving the accommodation of data and the latter as involving the prediction of data. Predictivism is the view that, ceteris paribus, correctly predicting data confers greater confirmation than successfully accommodating data. In this paper, I take issue with a variety of predictivist theses, argue that their role for issues of confirmation is extremely limited, and attempt to account for the appeal that predictivism has enjoyed. Introduction Temporal Predictivism Heuristic Predictivism Weak Predictivism 4.1 Inference to better theories 4.2 Inference to better methods Arguments for Strong Heuristic Predictivism 5.1 Best explanations argument 5.2 Conditional support 5.3 Unique explanations Increased Explanatory Unification 6.1 Explaining what other theories can't 6.2 Contrived hypotheses 6.2 Strength and simplicity Conclusions CiteULike Connotea Del.icio.us What's this?
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
|Through your library||Configure|
Similar books and articles
D. Harker (2011). Eric Christian Barnes * the Paradox of Predictivism. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 62 (1):219-223.
David Harker (2006). Accommodation and Prediction: The Case of the Persistent Head. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 57 (2):309-321.
Eric C. Barnes (2008). The Paradox of Predictivism. Cambridge University Press.
Eric Barnes (1996). Thoughts on Maher's Predictivism. Philosophy of Science 63 (3):401-410.
Robert G. Hudson (2007). What's Really at Issue with Novel Predictions? Synthese 155 (1):1 - 20.
Eric Barnes (1996). Social Predictivism. Erkenntnis 45 (1):69 - 89.
Wang-Yen Lee (2012). Hitchcock and Sober on Weak Predictivism. Philosophia 40 (3):553-562.
E. C. Barnes (2005). Predictivism for Pluralists. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 56 (3):421-450.
Eric Christian Barnes (2005). Predictivism for Pluralists. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 56 (3).
Added to index2009-01-28
Total downloads24 ( #59,752 of 1,004,688 )
Recent downloads (6 months)1 ( #64,743 of 1,004,688 )
How can I increase my downloads?