Inertia, Optimism and Beauty

Noûs 47 (1):85-103 (2013)
The best arguments for the 1/3 answer to the Sleeping Beauty problem all require that when Beauty awakes on Monday she should be uncertain what day it is. I argue that this claim should be rejected, thereby clearing the way to accept the 1/2 solution
Keywords Sleeping Beauty  Bayesian Epistemology
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DOI 10.1111/j.1468-0068.2010.00817.x
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Michael G. Titelbaum (2012). An Embarrassment for Double-Halfers. Thought: A Journal of Philosophy 1 (2):146-151.

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