Hume on miracles: Bayesian interpretation, multiple testimony, and the existence of God
British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 49 (1):49-65 (1998)
| Abstract | Hume's argument concerning miracles is interpreted by making approximations to terms in Bayes's theorem. This formulation is then used to analyse the impact of multiple testimony. Individual testimonies which are ‘non-miraculous’ in Hume's sense can in principle be accumulated to yield a high probability both for the occurrence of a single miracle and for the occurrence of at least one of a set of miracles. Conditions are given under which testimony for miracles may provide support for the existence of God. | |||||||||
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Elliott Sober (2004). A Modest Proposal. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 68 (2):487–494.
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