Non-zero probabilities for universal generalizations

Synthese 190 (18):4001-4007 (2013)
  Copy   BIBTEX

Abstract

This article discusses the classical problem of zero probability of universal generalizations in Rudolf Carnap’s inductive logic. A correction rule for updating the inductive method on the basis of evidence will be presented. It will be shown that this rule has the effect that infinite streams of uniform evidence assume a non-zero limit probability. Since Carnap’s inductive logic is based on finite domains of individuals, the probability of the corresponding universal quantification changes accordingly. This implies that universal generalizations can receive positive prior and posterior probabilities, even for (countably) infinite domains

Links

PhilArchive



    Upload a copy of this work     Papers currently archived: 91,219

External links

Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server

Through your library

Similar books and articles

Confirming universal generalizations.S. L. Zabell - 1996 - Erkenntnis 45 (2-3):267-283.
Conditional probabilities.A. R. Pruss - 2012 - Analysis 72 (3):488-491.
Past Probabilities.Sven Ove Hansson - 2010 - Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic 51 (2):207-223.
Do we need second-order probabilities?Sven Ove Hansson - 2008 - Dialectica 62 (4):525-533.
A truth-functional logic for near-universal generalizations.Ian F. Carlstrom - 1990 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 19 (4):379 - 405.
Why epistemology cannot be operationalized.Timothy Williamson - 2008 - In Quentin Smith (ed.), Epistemology: new essays. New York : Oxford University Press,: Oxford University Press.
Causes and mixed probabilities.David Papineau - 1990 - International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 4 (1):79 – 88.

Analytics

Added to PP
2013-01-13

Downloads
54 (#283,495)

6 months
7 (#350,235)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Citations of this work

All Ravens can be Black, After All.Ruurik Holm - 2021 - Journal of Logic, Language and Information 30 (4):657-669.

Add more citations

References found in this work

Logical foundations of probability.Rudolf Carnap - 1950 - Chicago]: Chicago University of Chicago Press.
The continuum of inductive methods.Rudolf Carnap - 1952 - [Chicago]: University of Chicago Press.
Logical Foundations of Probability (2nd edition).Rudolf Carnap - 1962 - Chicago: Chicago University Press.
The Continuum of Inductive Methods.Rudolf Carnap - 1953 - Philosophy 28 (106):272-273.

View all 10 references / Add more references