British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 48 (4):517-531 (1997)
|Abstract||This paper argues that Ramsey's view of the calculus of subjective probabilities as, in effect, logical axioms is the correct view, with powerful heuristic value. This heuristic value is seen particularly in the analysis of the role of conditionalization in the Bayesian theory, where a semantic criterion of synchronic coherence is employed as the test of soundness, which the traditional formulation of conditionalization fails. On the other hand, there is a generally sound rule which supports conditionalization in appropriate contexts, though these contexts are not universal. This sound Bayesian rule is seen to be analogous in certain respects to the deductive rule of modus ponens.|
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
|Through your library||Configure|
Similar books and articles
Allen Stairs (1982). Quantum Logic and the Luders Rule. Philosophy of Science 49 (3):422-436.
Frank Döring (1999). Why Bayesian Psychology is Incomplete. Philosophy of Science 66 (3):389.
Matthias Hild (1998). The Coherence Argument Against Conditionalization. Synthese 115 (2):229-258.
Colin Howson & Allan Franklin (1994). Bayesian Conditionalization and Probability Kinematics. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 45 (2):451-466.
Colin Howson (1997). Error Probabilities in Error. Philosophy of Science 64 (4):194.
Hilary Greaves & David Wallace (2006). Justifying Conditionalization: Conditionalization Maximizes Expected Epistemic Utility. Mind 115 (459):607-632.
William Talbott, Bayesian Epistemology. Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy.
R. I. G. Hughes & Bas C. Van Fraassen (1984). Symmetry Arguments in Probability Kinematics. PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1984:851 - 869.
Added to index2009-01-28
Total downloads20 ( #68,257 of 722,919 )
Recent downloads (6 months)1 ( #61,087 of 722,919 )
How can I increase my downloads?