Significance testing with no alternative hypothesis: A measure of surprise [Book Review]

Erkenntnis 70 (2):253-270 (2009)
A pure significance test would check the agreement of a statistical model with the observed data even when no alternative model was available. The paper proposes the use of a modified p -value to make such a test. The model will be rejected if something surprising is observed. It is shown that the relation between this measure of surprise and the surprise indices of Weaver and Good is similar to the relationship between a p -value, a corresponding odds-ratio, and a logit or log-odds statistic. The s -value is always larger than the corresponding p -value, and is not uniformly distributed. Difficulties with the whole approach are discussed
Keywords Philosophy   Philosophy   Epistemology   Ontology   Ethics   Logic
Categories (categorize this paper)
 Save to my reading list
Follow the author(s)
My bibliography
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Revision history Request removal from index
Download options
PhilPapers Archive

Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy on self-archival     Papers currently archived: 23,280
External links
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
Through your library
References found in this work BETA
Harold Jeffreys (1940). Theory of Probability. Journal of Philosophy 37 (19):524-528.
Alonzo Church (1940). On the Concept of a Random Sequence. Journal of Symbolic Logic 5 (2):71-72.
J. V. Howard (1975). Computable Explanations. Mathematical Logic Quarterly 21 (1):215-224.

Add more references

Citations of this work BETA

No citations found.

Add more citations

Similar books and articles

Monthly downloads

Added to index


Total downloads

69 ( #69,273 of 1,932,455 )

Recent downloads (6 months)

1 ( #456,114 of 1,932,455 )

How can I increase my downloads?

My notes
Sign in to use this feature

Start a new thread
There  are no threads in this forum
Nothing in this forum yet.