David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1984:851 - 869 (1984)
Probability kinematics is the theory of how subjective probabilities change with time, in response to certain constraints (accepted by the subject). Rules are classified by the imposed constraints for which the rules prescribe a procedure for updating one's opinion. The first is simple conditionalization (constraint: give probability 1 to proposition A), and the second Jeffrey conditionalization (constraint: give probability x i , 0 i ). It is demonstrated by a symmetry argument that these rules are the unique admissible rules for those constraints, and moreover, that any probability kinematic rule must be equivalent to a (simple or Jeffrey) conditionalization preceded by a determination of the values x i to be given to the members of such a partition. Next two rival rules which can go beyond such conditionalization are described. INFOMIN (minimize relative information) and MTP (maximize transition probability). Their properties are investigated and compared.
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
No citations found.
Similar books and articles
Brian Skyrms (1987). Dynamic Coherence and Probability Kinematics. Philosophy of Science 54 (1):1-20.
Carl G. Wagner (1992). Generalized Probability Kinematics. Erkenntnis 36 (2):245 - 257.
Bas C. Van Fraassen (1980). Rational Belief and Probability Kinematics. Philosophy of Science 47 (2):165 - 187.
Brad Armendt (1980). Is There a Dutch Book Argument for Probability Kinematics? Philosophy of Science 47 (4):583-588.
Richard Johns (2001). Probability and Symmetry. Philosophy of Science 68 (3):S109 - S122.
Paul D. Thorn (2014). Defeasible Conditionalization. Journal of Philosophical Logic 43:283-302.
Paul Bartha & Richard Johns (2001). Probability and Symmetry. Proceedings of the Philosophy of Science Association 2001 (3):S109-.
Zoltan Domotor, Mario Zanotti & Henson Graves (1980). Probability Kinematics. Synthese 44 (3):421 - 442.
Carl G. Wagner (2002). Probability Kinematics and Commutativity. Philosophy of Science 69 (2):266-278.
Paul R. Graves (1989). The Total Evidence Theorem for Probability Kinematics. Philosophy of Science 56 (2):317-324.
Lydia McGrew (2010). Probability Kinematics and Probability Dynamics. Journal of Philosophical Research 35:89-105.
Herman Dishkant (1980). Three Prepositional Calculi of Probability. Studia Logica 39 (1):49 - 61.
J. Uffink (1996). The Constraint Rule of the Maximum Entropy Principle. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B 27 (1):47-79.
Keith Lehrer (1983). Rationality as Weighted Averaging. Synthese 57 (3):283 - 295.
Isaac Levi (1981). Direct Inference and Confirmational Conditionalization. Philosophy of Science 48 (4):532-552.
Added to index2011-05-29
Total downloads9 ( #224,183 of 1,696,585 )
Recent downloads (6 months)2 ( #250,101 of 1,696,585 )
How can I increase my downloads?