Probability and the Art of Judgment
David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
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Cambridge University Press (1992)
Richard Jeffrey is beyond dispute one of the most distinguished and influential philosophers working in the field of decision theory and the theory of knowledge. His work is distinctive in showing the interplay of epistemological concerns with probability and utility theory. Not only has he made use of standard probabilistic and decision theoretic tools to clarify concepts of evidential support and informed choice, he has also proposed significant modifications of the standard Bayesian position in order that it provide a better fit with actual human experience. Probability logic is viewed not as a source of judgment but as a framework for explaining the implications of probabilistic judgments and their mutual compatability This collection of essays spans a period of some 35 years and includes what have become some of the classic works in the literature. There is also one completely new piece, while in many instances Jeffrey includes afterthoughts on the older essays.
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Citations of this work BETA
Alvin I. Goldman (2001). Experts: Which Ones Should You Trust? Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 63 (1):85-110.
Branden Fitelson (2003). A Probabilistic Theory of Coherence. Analysis 63 (3):194–199.
Igor Douven (2011). Further Results on the Intransitivity of Evidential Support. Review of Symbolic Logic 4 (4):487-497.
Alan Hájek (2007). The Reference Class Problem is Your Problem Too. Synthese 156 (3):563--585.
Thomas Kelly (2008). Evidence: Fundamental Concepts and the Phenomenal Conception. Philosophy Compass 3 (5):933-955.
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