On the Use of Likelihood as a Guide to Truth

Abstract
Confirmation functions are generally thought of as probability functions. The well known difficulties associated with the probabilistic confirmation functions proposed to date indicate that functions other than probability functions should be investigated for the purpose of developing an adequate basis for confirmation theory. This paper deals with one such function, the likelihood function. First, it is argued here that likelihood is not a probability function. Second, a proof is given that, in the limit, likelihood can be used to determine which of two observationally distinct hypotheses is true. Finally, a demonstration is given that, in the presence of a finite amount of experimental information, likelihood can serve as a good estimator of truth.
Keywords No keywords specified (fix it)
Categories No categories specified
(categorize this paper)
Options
 Save to my reading list
Follow the author(s)
My bibliography
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Revision history Request removal from index
 
Download options
PhilPapers Archive


Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy on self-archival     Papers currently archived: 11,404
External links
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
Through your library
References found in this work BETA

No references found.

Citations of this work BETA

No citations found.

Similar books and articles
Barry Loewer, Robert Laddaga & Roger Rosenkrantz (1978). On The Likelihood Principle and a Supposed Antinomy. PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1978:279 - 286.
Joseph F. Hanna (1984). On the Empirical Adequacy of Composite Statistical Hypotheses. PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1984:73 - 80.
A. W. F. Edwards (1972). Likelihood. Cambridge [Eng.]University Press.
Brian Zamulinski (2005). Rejoinder to Scott. Religious Studies 41 (2):225-229.
Elliott Sober (1988). Likelihood and Convergence. Philosophy of Science 55 (2):228-237.
Analytics

Monthly downloads

Added to index

2011-05-29

Total downloads

7 ( #188,579 of 1,103,009 )

Recent downloads (6 months)

1 ( #297,567 of 1,103,009 )

How can I increase my downloads?

My notes
Sign in to use this feature


Discussion
Start a new thread
Order:
There  are no threads in this forum
Nothing in this forum yet.