Learning from examples does not prevent order effects in belief revision
Thinking and Reasoning 16 (2):98-130 (2011)
| Abstract | A common finding is that information order influences belief revision (e.g., Hogarth & Einhorn, 1992). We tested personal experience as a possible mitigator. In three experiments participants experienced the probabilistic relationship between pieces of information and object category through a series of trials where they assigned objects (planes) into one of two possible categories (hostile or commercial), given two sequentially presented pieces of probabilistic information (route and ID), and then they had to indicate their belief about the object category before feedback. The results generally confirm the predictions from the Hogarth and Einhorn model. Participants showed a recency effect in their belief revision. Extending previous model evaluations the results indicate that the model predictions also hold for classification decisions, and for pieces of information that vary in their diagnostic values. Personal experience does not appear to prevent order effects in classification decisions based on sequentially presented pieces of information and in belief revision | |||||||||
| Keywords | No keywords specified (fix it) | |||||||||
| Categories | No categories specified (fix it) | |||||||||
| Options |
|
|||||||||
Download options| PhilPapers Archive |
Upload a copy of this paper Check publisher's policy on self-archival Papers currently archived: 5,679 |
| External links |
 |
| Through your library | Configure |
Similar books and articlesMarcelo Alejandro Falappa, Alejandro Javier García, Gabriele Kern-Isberner & Guillermo Ricardo Simari (2013). Stratified Belief Bases Revision with Argumentative Inference. Journal of Philosophical Logic 42 (1):161-193.
Peter Gardenfors (1990). Belief Revision and Relevance. PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1990:349 - 365.
Giacomo Bonanno (2008). Belief Revision in a Temporal Framework. In Krzysztof Apt & Robert van Rooij (eds.), New Perspectives on Games and Interaction. Amsterdam University Press.
Robert Stalnaker (2009). Iterated Belief Revision. Erkenntnis 70 (2):189 - 209.
Hans P. Van Ditmarsch (2005). Prolegomena to Dynamic Logic for Belief Revision. Synthese 147 (2):229 - 275.
Jiajie Zhang Todd R. Johnson Hongbin Wang (1998). The Relation Between Order Effects and Frequency Learning in Tactical Decision Making. Thinking and Reasoning 4 (2):123 – 145.
Frank E. Ritter, Josef F. Krems & Martin R. K. Baumann (2011). Learning From Examples Does Not Prevent Order Effects in Belief Revision. Thinking and Reasoning 16 (2):98-130.
Analytics
Monthly downloads
Sorry, there are not enough data points to plot this chart.
|
Added to index2010-08-20Total downloads1 ( #274,830 of 549,084 )Recent downloads (6 months)0How can I increase my downloads? |
My notes
Discussion
