David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Ezio Di Nucci
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
The Monist 84 (2):135-152 (2001)
Bishop Butler, [Butler, 1736], said that probability was the very guide of life. But what interpretations of probability can serve this function? It isn’t hard to see that empirical (frequency) views won’t do, and many recent writers-for example John Earman, who has said that Bayesianism is “the only game in town”-have been persuaded by various dutch book arguments that only subjective probability will perform the function required. We will defend the thesis that probability construed in this way offers very little guidance, dutch book arguments notwithstanding. We will sketch a way out of the impasse.
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
No citations found.
Similar books and articles
Alan Hájek (2003). Conditional Probability Is the Very Guide of Life. In Kyburg Jr, E. Henry & Mariam Thalos (eds.), Probability is the Very Guide of Life: The Philosophical Uses of Chance. Open Court 183--203.
Paul Bartha (2004). Countable Additivity and the de Finetti Lottery. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 55 (2):301-321.
Frank Döring (2000). Conditional Probability and Dutch Books. Philosophy of Science 67 (3):391-409.
J. Williamson (1999). Countable Additivity and Subjective Probability. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 50 (3):401-416.
Co-Authored & Helen Beebee (2003). Probability as a Guide to Life. In David Papineau (ed.), The Roots of Reason: Philosophical Essays on Rationality, Evolution, and Probability. Oxford University Press
Michael Strevens (1999). Objective Probability as a Guide to the World. Philosophical Studies 95 (3):243-275.
Alan Hájek (2007). The Reference Class Problem is Your Problem Too. Synthese 156 (3):563--585.
John M. Vickers (1988). Chance and Structure: An Essay on the Logical Foundations of Probability. Oxford University Press.
Kenny Easwaran (2011). Bayesianism I: Introduction and Arguments in Favor. Philosophy Compass 6 (5):312-320.
Richard C. Jeffrey (2004). Subjective Probability: The Real Thing. Cambridge University Press.
Colin Howson (1992). Dutch Book Arguments and Consistency. PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1992:161 - 168.
T. V. Reeves (1988). A Theory of Probability. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 39 (2):161-182.
Richard Otte (1987). A Theistic Conception of Probability. Faith and Philosophy 4 (4):427-447.
Carl G. Wagner (2007). The Smith-Walley Interpretation of Subjective Probability: An Appreciation. Studia Logica 86 (2):343 - 350.
Added to index2011-01-09
Total downloads22 ( #163,670 of 1,790,148 )
Recent downloads (6 months)9 ( #93,776 of 1,790,148 )
How can I increase my downloads?