David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Behavioral and Brain Sciences 20 (4):778-779 (1997)
Most tasks used to demonstrate the base rate fallacy are ambiguous about the independence of the data. The removal of such ambiguities from the texts (by means of a clear reference class for the probabilities) is a necessary condition and has a considerable effect on the use of the base rate in classical probabilistic tasks. Some comments are offered on the frequentist phrasing of such and, more generally, their ecological validity.
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
No citations found.
Similar books and articles
David Caplan & Gloria Waters (1999). Issues Regarding General and Domain-Specific Resources. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 22 (1):114-122.
Samuel D. Gosling (2004). Another Route to Broadening the Scope of Social Psychology: Ecologically Valid Research. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 27 (3):339-340.
Christopher Manning, Verb Sense and Subcategorization: Using Joint Inference to Improve Performance on Complementary Tasks.
Victor Allis & Teun Koetsier (1995). On Some Paradoxes of the Infinite II. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 46 (2):235-247.
Jonathan E. Adler (1997). If the Base Rate Fallacy is a Fallacy, Does It Matter How Frequently It is Committed? Behavioral and Brain Sciences 20 (4):774-775.
Aris Spanos (2010). Is Frequentist Testing Vulnerable to the Base-Rate Fallacy? Philosophy of Science 77 (4):565-583.
Gernot D. Kleiter (2007). Implications of Natural Sampling in Base-Rate Tasks. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 30 (3):270-271.
KJ Gilhooly & P. Murphy (2005). Differentiating Insight From Non-Insight Problems. Thinking and Reasoning 11 (3):279 – 302.
Jonathan J. Koehler (1997). A Farewell to Normative Null Hypothesis Testing in Base Rate Research. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 20 (4):780-782.
Adam S. Goodie (1997). Direct Experience is Ecologically Valid. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 20 (4):777-778.
Added to index2009-01-28
Total downloads3 ( #324,607 of 1,410,304 )
Recent downloads (6 months)1 ( #155,456 of 1,410,304 )
How can I increase my downloads?