David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
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Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 30 (2):335-353 (1999)
In 1756 Joseph Black published a new theory of the nature of lime, one that is now viewed as essentially correct. Black's theory was not immediately accepted, and a competing theory, published in 1764 by Johann Meyer, was widely preferred to Black's for some years. In this paper, probability theory is used to show that, and why, some of Black's evidence made his theory more probable than Meyer's.
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References found in this work BETA
John Maynard Keynes (1921/2004). A Treatise on Probability. Dover Publications.
Herbert Butterfield (1951). The Origins of Modern Science. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 1 (4):332-333.
Henry Guerlac (1957). Joseph Black and Fixed Air: Part II. Isis: A Journal of the History of Science 48:433-456.
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