David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Journal of Philosophical Research 35:89-105 (2010)
Richard Jeffrey developed the formula for probability kinematics with the intent that it would show that strong foundations are epistemologically unnecessary. But the reasons that support strong foundationalism are considerations of dynamics rather than kinematics. The strong foundationalist is concerned with the origin of epistemic force; showing how epistemic force is propagated therefore cannot undermine his position. The weakness of personalism is evident in the difficulty the personalist has in giving a principled answer to the question of when the conditions for the application of the kinematic formula—the rigidity of the posteriors—are fulfilled, a problem made intractable by the personalist commitment to treating changes in intermediate probability as unexplained surds. Because the strong foundationalist admits changes in the intermediate probability of propositions only when there is some change in the foundations, he can avail himself of ananswer to the problem of the rigidity of the posteriors which the personalist cannot regard as complete. While probability kinematics does not make certain foundations unnecessary, the possession of certain foundations also does not make the probability kinematics formula superfluous. The formula allowsus to model the indirect routes by which the foundations influence various non-foundational propositions in the probability distribution
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
No categories specified
(categorize this paper)
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
Lydia McGrew (2014). Jeffrey Conditioning, Rigidity, and the Defeasible Red Jelly Bean. Philosophical Studies 168 (2):569-582.
Similar books and articles
Carl G. Wagner (2002). Probability Kinematics and Commutativity. Philosophy of Science 69 (2):266-278.
Zoltan Domotor, Mario Zanotti & Henson Graves (1980). Probability Kinematics. Synthese 44 (3):421 - 442.
Carl G. Wagner (1992). Generalized Probability Kinematics. Erkenntnis 36 (2):245 - 257.
R. I. G. Hughes & Bas C. Van Fraassen (1984). Symmetry Arguments in Probability Kinematics. PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1984:851 - 869.
Brian Skyrms (1987). Dynamic Coherence and Probability Kinematics. Philosophy of Science 54 (1):1-20.
Richard C. Jerey (2010). Probability Kinematics. In Antony Eagle (ed.), Philosophy of Probability: Contemporary Readings. Routledge.
Bas C. Van Fraassen (1980). Rational Belief and Probability Kinematics. Philosophy of Science 47 (2):165 - 187.
Richard Jeffrey (1992). Probability Kinematics and Causality. PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1992:365 - 373.
Brad Armendt (1980). Is There a Dutch Book Argument for Probability Kinematics? Philosophy of Science 47 (4):583-588.
Amos Nathan (2006). Probability Dynamics. Synthese 148 (1):229 - 256.
Paolo Rocchi & Leonida Gianfagna, Probabilistic Events and Physical Reality: A Complete Algebra of Probability.
Paul R. Graves (1989). The Total Evidence Theorem for Probability Kinematics. Philosophy of Science 56 (2):317-324.
Alan Hájek (2001). Probability, Logic, and Probability Logic. In Lou Goble (ed.), The Blackwell Guide to Philosophical Logic. Blackwell Publishers. 362--384.
Richard Bradley (2007). The Kinematics of Belief and Desire. Synthese 156 (3):513-535.
Richard Otte (1987). A Theistic Conception of Probability. Faith and Philosophy 4 (4):427-447.
Added to index2011-12-02
Total downloads5 ( #233,563 of 1,099,707 )
Recent downloads (6 months)3 ( #124,075 of 1,099,707 )
How can I increase my downloads?