How to believe a conditional

Journal of Philosophy 60 (5):233-248 (1993)
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DOI jphil199390543
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Dorothy Edgington (2008). Counterfactuals. Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society 108 (1part1):1-21.
Igor Douven (2009). Assertion, Moore, and Bayes. Philosophical Studies 144 (3):361 - 375.

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