David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Philosophy of Science 59 (1):44-52 (1992)
Popper's paradox of ideal evidence has long been viewed as a telling criticism of Keynes's logical theory of probability and its associated concept of the weight of argument. This paper shows that a simple addition to Keynes's definitions of irrelevance enables his theory to elude the paradox with ease. The modified definition draws on ideas already present in Keynes's Treatise on Probability (1973). As a consequence, relevant evidence and the weight of argument may increase, even when new evidence leaves the probability unaltered
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
No citations found.
Similar books and articles
Brian Weatherson (2002). Keynes, Uncertainty and Interest Rates. Cambridge Journal of Economics 26 (1):47-62.
Theo A. F. Kuipers (1973). A Generalization of Carnap's Inductive Logic. Synthese 25 (3-4):334 - 336.
Theo A. F. Kuipers (1986). Some Estimates of the Optimum Inductive Method. Erkenntnis 24 (1):37 - 46.
Theo A. F. Kuipers (1984). Two Types of Inductive Analogy by Similarity. Erkenntnis 21 (1):63 - 87.
Theo A. F. Kuipers (1983). Non-Inductive Explication of Two Inductive Intuitions. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 34 (3):209-223.
Theo A. F. Kuipers (2005). A Brand New Type of Inductive Logic: Reply to Diderik Batens. Poznan Studies in the Philosophy of the Sciences and the Humanities 83 (1):248-252.
Guido Fioretti (2001). Von Kries and the Other ‘German Logicians’: Non-Numerical Probabilities Before Keynes. Economics and Philosophy 17 (2):245-273.
Michael E. Brady (1987). J. M. Keynes' 'Theory of Evidential Weight': Its Relation to Information Processing Theory and Application in the General Theory. Synthese 71 (1):37 - 59.
Marcelo Tsuji (2000). Partial Structures and Jeffrey-Keynes Algebras. Synthese 125 (1-2):283-299.
Added to index2009-01-28
Total downloads18 ( #103,106 of 1,413,259 )
Recent downloads (6 months)3 ( #67,681 of 1,413,259 )
How can I increase my downloads?