Apocalyptic Argument and the Anticipation of Catastrophe: the Prediction of Risk and the Risks of Prediction [Book Review]
David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Argumentation 11 (3):293-313 (1997)
This essay proposes to extend the model of apocalyptic argument developedin my recent book Arguing the Apocalypse (OâLeary, 1994) beyond the study ofreligious discourse, by applying this model to the debate over awell-publicized earthquake prediction that caused a widespread panic in theAmerican midwest in December, 1990. The first section of the essay willsummarize the essential elements of apocalyptic argument as I have earlierdefined them; the second section will apply the model to the case of the NewMadrid, Missouri, earthquake prediction, in order to demonstrate thatcertain patterns of reasoning characteristic of religious apocalyptic arepresent in the discourse over an anticipated local disaster. My ultimatepurpose is to show that predictions of global and local catastrophe mayserve as extreme cases that will illuminate the dynamics of predictiveargument in general. Thus my argument will seek to undercut Daniel Bellâsdistinction between prophecy and prediction (Bell, 1973) by establishingthat these discourses share identifiable formal and substantivecharacteristics, and depend for their rhetorical effect on anxiety, hope,far, and excitement as modes of temporal anticipation
|Keywords||Apocalypse apocalyptic prediction earthquake catastrophe risk sign argument|
No categories specified
(categorize this paper)
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
No citations found.
Similar books and articles
Berel Lang (1983). Earthquake Prediction: Testing the Ground. Environmental Ethics 5 (1):3-19.
Wenceslao J. González (1995). Reichenbach's Concept of Prediction. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 9 (1):37 – 58.
Wenceslao J. González (1995). Reichenbach's Concept of Prediction. International Studies in the Philosophy of Science 9 (1):37-58.
John Canfield & Keith Lehrer (1961). A Note on Prediction and Deduction. Philosophy of Science 28 (2):204-208.
John Byron Manchak (2008). Is Prediction Possible in General Relativity? Foundations of Physics 38 (4):317-321.
Regina Pally (2005). Non-Conscious Prediction and a Role for Consciousness in Correcting Prediction Errors. Cortex. Special Issue 41 (5):643-662.
Sorin Bangu (2008). Reifying Mathematics? Prediction and Symmetry Classification. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B 39 (2):239-258.
Lee C. McIntyre (2001). Accomodation, Prediction, and Confirmation. Perspectives on Science 9 (3):308-323.
Gerhard Schurz, Local, General and Universal Prediction Strategies: A Game-Theoretical Approach to the Problem of Induction.
Marc Lange (2001). The Apparent Superiority of Prediction to Accommodation as a Side Effect: A Reply to Maher. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 52 (3):575-588.
SteveAnthony FleetwoodHesketh (2006). Prediction in Social Science - The Case of Research on the Human Resource Management-Organisational Performance Link. [REVIEW] Journal of Critical Realism 5 (2):228-250.
Jeffry L. Ramsey (2007). Calibrating and Constructing Models of Protein Folding. Synthese 155 (3):307 - 320.
Steen Olaf Welding (1984). Die Struktur der Begründung Wissenschaftlicher Prognosen. Journal for General Philosophy of Science 15 (1):72-91.
Wenceslao J. Gonzalez (2001). Lakatos's Approach on Prediction and Novel Facts. Theoria 16 (3):499-518.
Added to index2010-09-11
Total downloads11 ( #156,452 of 1,679,369 )
Recent downloads (6 months)3 ( #78,612 of 1,679,369 )
How can I increase my downloads?