What Language Dependence Problem? A Reply for Joyce to Fitelson on Joyce

Philosophy of Science 79 (4):561-574 (2012)
In an essay recently published in this journal, Branden Fitelson argues that a variant of Miller’s argument for the language dependence of the accuracy of predictions can be applied to Joyce’s notion of accuracy of credences formulated in terms of scoring rules, resulting in a general potential problem for Joyce’s argument for probabilism. We argue that no relevant problem of the sort Fitelson supposes arises since his main theorem and his supporting arguments presuppose the validity of nonlinear transformations of credence functions that Joyce’s theory, charitably construed, would identify as invalid on the basis of the principle of simple dominance.
Keywords probabilism  scoring rules  Brier score  language dependence
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DOI 10.1086/667997
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James M. Joyce (2005). How Probabilities Reflect Evidence. Philosophical Perspectives 19 (1):153–178.

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Stephen Finlay (2011). Errors Upon Errors: A Reply to Joyce. Australasian Journal of Philosophy 89 (3):535 - 547.

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