David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Philosophy of Science 53 (2):246-258 (1986)
In a number of recent papers I have been developing the theory of "nomic probability," which is supposed to be the kind of probability involved in statistical laws of nature. One of the main principles of this theory is an acceptance rule explicitly designed to handle the lottery paradox. This paper shows that the rule can also handle the paradox of the preface. The solution proceeds in part by pointing out a surprising connection between the paradox of the preface and the gambler's fallacy
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
Jonathan Kvanvig (2012). Coherentism and Justified Inconsistent Beliefs: A Solution. Southern Journal of Philosophy 50 (1):21-41.
Jonathan Weisberg (2010). Bootstrapping in General. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 81 (3):525 - 548.
Frederik Herzberg (2014). A Graded Bayesian Coherence Notion. Erkenntnis 79 (4):843-869.
Similar books and articles
Kevin B. Korb (1992). The Collapse of Collective Defeat: Lessons From the Lottery Paradox. PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1992:230 - 236.
Branden Fitelson & James Hawthorne (2010). How Bayesian Confirmation Theory Handles the Paradox of the Ravens. In Ellery Eells & James Fetzer (eds.), The Place of Probability in Science. Springer. 247--275.
Thomas Kroedel (2012). The Lottery Paradox, Epistemic Justification and Permissibility. Analysis 72 (1):57-60.
Jake Chandler (2013). Acceptance, Aggregation and Scoring Rules. Erkenntnis 78 (1):201 - 217.
By Igor Douven (2008). The Lottery Paradox and Our Epistemic Goal. Pacific Philosophical Quarterly 89 (2):204–225.
John L. Pollock (1986). ``The Paradox of the Preface&Quot. Philosophy of Science 53:246-258.
Igor Douven (2002). A New Solution to the Paradoxes of Rational Acceptability. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 53 (3):391-410.
I. Douven (2012). The Sequential Lottery Paradox. Analysis 72 (1):55-57.
Igor Douven (2003). The Preface Paradox Revisited. Erkenntnis 59 (3):389 - 420.
Added to index2009-01-28
Total downloads35 ( #50,498 of 1,103,038 )
Recent downloads (6 months)9 ( #24,631 of 1,103,038 )
How can I increase my downloads?