|Abstract||Horgan and Mahtani (2013) present a new argument for the 1/3 answer to the Sleeping Beauty problem resting on a principle for updating probabilities which they call “generalized conditionalization.” They allege that this new argument is immune to two attacks which I have recently leveled at other arguments for thirdism. I argue (1) that their new principle does not clearly favor the thirder over the halfer and (2) that generalized conditionalization cannot be applied in the manner suggested, given the cogency of the aforementioned attacks on thirder arguments. Hence, the new argument fails to advance the case for the 1/3 answer.|
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