Forecasting with Imprecise/Indeterminate Probabilities [IP] – some preliminary findings

, &

Abstract

Part 1 Background on de Finetti’s twin criteria of coherence: Coherence1: 2-sided previsions free from dominance through a Book. Coherence2: Forecasts free from dominance under Brier (squared error) score. Part 2 IP theory based on a scoring rule

Categories

Keywords

Reprint years

Links

PhilArchive



    Upload a copy of this work     Papers currently archived: 91,219

External links

  • This entry has no external links. Add one.
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server

Through your library

  • Only published works are available at libraries.

My notes

Similar books and articles

When coherent preferences may not preserve indifference between equivalent random variables: A price for unbounded utilities.Teddy Seidenfeld, Mark Schervish & Joseph Kadane - unknown
Extending Bayesian Theory to Cooperative Groups: an introduction to Indeterminate/Imprecise Probability Theories [IP] also see www.sipta.org.Teddy Seidenfeld & Mark Schervish - unknown
Subjective Probabilities Should be Sharp.Adam Elga - 2010 - Philosophers' Imprint 10.
Decision making with imprecise probabilities.Brian Weatherson - 1998
Proper scoring rules, dominated forecasts, and coherence.Teddy Seidenfeld - unknown
Divisive conditioning: Further results on dilation.Timothy Herron, Teddy Seidenfeld & Larry Wasserman - 1997 - Philosophy of Science 64 (3):411-444.
Human reasoning with imprecise probabilities: Modus ponens and Denying the antecedent.Niki Pfeifer & G. D. Kleiter - 2007 - In Proceedings of the 5 T H International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications. pp. 347--356.
Coherence with Proper Scoring Rules.Mark Schervish, Teddy Seidenfeld & Mark Schervish Joseph - unknown

Analytics

Added to PP
2010-07-01

Downloads
31 (#488,695)

6 months
1 (#1,459,555)

Historical graph of downloads
How can I increase my downloads?

Author's Profile

Teddy Seidenfeld
Carnegie Mellon University

Citations of this work

No citations found.

Add more citations

References found in this work

No references found.

Add more references