David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Ezio Di Nucci
Jonathan Jenkins Ichikawa
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Inquiry 25 (3):361 – 364 (1982)
Contrary to Aubert's claim, my paper on election predictions does not seek to draw empirical conclusions from mathematical premisses alone. The empirical premiss, approximated by the continuity assumption, is that sufficiently small changes in the predicted vote will cause only small changes in the actual vote. The technical criticisms by ?fsti and ?sterberg of the reaction function are answered by specifying the function's domain. Other criticisms are also answered, and the reply concludes by placing the election prediction theorem in the context of other theorizing about human expectations and outguessing phenomena
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
No categories specified
(categorize this paper)
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
Esther-Mirjam Sent (2001). Sent Simulating Simon Simulating Scientists. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A 32 (3):479-500.
Similar books and articles
Nkeonye Otakpor (1988). "Election Tribunals, Election Petitions and Justice. Journal of Social Philosophy 19 (3):20-30.
Karl Egil Aubert (1983). Ii. Mathematical Modelling of Election Predictions: Comments to Simon 's Reply. Inquiry 26 (1):132 – 134.
Michael K. Miller, Guanchun Wang, Sanjeev R. Kulkarni & Daniel N. Osherson, Wishful Thinking and Social Inﬂuence in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election.
Karl Egil Aubert (1982). The Role of Mathematics in the Exploration of Reality. Inquiry 25 (3):353 – 359.
Mark R. Klinger, Katherine L. Kerr & Mark E. Vande Kamp, The Self-Prophecy Effect: Increasing Voter Turnout by Vanity-Assisted Consciousness Raising.
Added to index2009-01-30
Total downloads10 ( #365,746 of 1,938,821 )
Recent downloads (6 months)1 ( #458,338 of 1,938,821 )
How can I increase my downloads?