David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Social Epistemology 23 (3):347-360 (2011)
This paper focuses on one matter that poses a problem for both human judges and standard probability frameworks, namely the assumption of a unique (privileged) and complete partition of the state-space of possible events. This is tantamount to assuming that we know all possible outcomes or alternatives in advance of making a decision, but it is clear that there are many practical situations in prediction, diagnosis, and decision-making where such partitions are contestable and/or incomplete. The paper begins by surveying the impact of partitions on the choice of priors in formal probabilistic updating frameworks, and on human subjective probability judgements. That material is followed by an overview of strategies for dealing with partition dependence, including considerations of how a rational agent's preferences may determine the choice of a partition
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
Glenn Shafer (1976). A Mathematical Theory of Evidence. Princeton University Press.
Michael Smithson (2006). Scale Construction From a Decisional Viewpoint. Minds and Machines 16 (3):339-364.
Peter Walley (1996). Inferences From Multinomal Data: Learning About a Bag of Marbles (with Discussion). Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B 58:3-57.
Citations of this work BETA
No citations found.
Similar books and articles
Chrisoula Andreou (2005). Incommensurable Alternatives and Rational Choice. Ratio 18 (3):249–261.
Miquel Bastons (2008). The Role of Virtues in the Framing of Decisions. Journal of Business Ethics 78 (3):389 - 400.
Lloyd Humberstone (2008). Parts and Partitions. Theoria 66 (1):41-82.
Harald Atmanspacher (2006). Complementarity in Classical Dynamical Systems. Foundations of Physics 36 (2):291-306.
David Ellerman, A Short Note on the Logico-Conceptual Foundations of Information Theory in Partition Logic.
David Ellerman (2009). Counting Distinctions: On the Conceptual Foundations of Shannon's Information Theory. Synthese 168 (1):119 - 149.
Duygu Nizamogullari & İpek Özkal-Sanver (2011). Coalitional Stability and Efficiency of Partitions in Matching Problems. Theory and Decision 71 (3):395-407.
Jan-Willem Romeijn (2004). Hypotheses and Inductive Predictions. Synthese 141 (3):333 - 364.
Romeyn, J.-W. (2004). Hypotheses and Inductive Predictions. Synthese 141 (3):333-364.
Added to index2010-07-27
Total downloads6 ( #197,759 of 1,096,632 )
Recent downloads (6 months)3 ( #105,642 of 1,096,632 )
How can I increase my downloads?