Objective probability as a guide to the world

Philosophical Studies 95 (3):243-275 (1999)
Abstract
According to principles of <span class='Hi'>probability</span> coordination, such as Miller's Principle or Lewis's Principal Principle, you ought to set your subjective <span class='Hi'>probability</span> for an event equal to what you take to be the <span class='Hi'>objective</span> <span class='Hi'>probability</span> of the event. For example, you should expect events with a very high <span class='Hi'>probability</span> to occur and those with a very low <span class='Hi'>probability</span> not to occur. This paper examines the grounds of such principles. It is argued that any attempt to justify a principle of <span class='Hi'>probability</span> coordination encounters the same difficulties as attempts to justify induction. As a result, no justification can be found.
Keywords Philosophy   Philosophy   Epistemology   Logic   Philosophy of Mind   Philosophy of Religion
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DOI 10.1023/A:1004256510606
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Christopher J. G. Meacham (2010). Two Mistakes Regarding the Principal Principle. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 61 (2):407-431.
Alastair Wilson (2013). Schaffer on Laws of Nature. Philosophical Studies 164 (3):653-667.
Roman Frigg & Carl Hoefer (2007). Probability in GRW Theory. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B 38 (2):371-389.

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