Model structure adequacy analysis: Selecting models on the basis of their ability to answer scientific questions

Synthese 163 (3):357 - 370 (2008)
Abstract
Models carry the meaning of science. This puts a tremendous burden on the process of model selection. In general practice, models are selected on the basis of their relative goodness of fit to data penalized by model complexity. However, this may not be the most effective approach for selecting models to answer a specific scientific question because model fit is sensitive to all aspects of a model, not just those relevant to the question. Model Structural Adequacy analysis is proposed as a means to select models based on their ability to answer specific scientific questions given the current understanding of the relevant aspects of the real world.
Keywords Model selection  Model identification  Model development  Multi-model inference  Bull trout   Salvelinus confluentus  Monitoring
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