David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
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Biology and Philosophy 26 (1):65-79 (2011)
This paper develops a critical response to John Beatty’s recent (2006) engagement with Stephen Jay Gould’s claim that evolutionary history is contingent. Beatty identifies two senses of contingency in Gould’s work: an unpredictability sense and a causal dependence sense. He denies that Gould associates contingency with stochastic phenomena, such as drift. In reply to Beatty, this paper develops two main claims. The first is an interpretive claim: Gould really thinks of contingency has having to do with stochastic effects at the level of macroevolution, and in particular with unbiased species sorting. This notion of contingency as macro-level stochasticity incorporates both the causal dependence and the unpredictability senses of contingency. The second claim is more substantive: Recent attempts by other scientists to put Gould’s claim to the test fail to engage with the hypothesis that species sorting sometimes resembles a lottery. Gould’s claim that random sorting is a significant macroevolutionary phenomenon remains an intriguing and largely untested live hypothesis about evolution
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References found in this work BETA
John Beatty (2006). Replaying Life's Tape. Journal of Philosophy 103 (7):336-362.
John Beatty (1997). Why Do Biologists Argue Like They Do? Philosophy of Science 64 (4):443.
Yemima Ben-Menahem (1997). Historical Contingency. Ratio 10 (2):99–107.
Robert N. Brandon (1997). Does Biology Have Laws? The Experimental Evidence. Philosophy of Science 64 (4):457.
Keynyn Brysse (2008). From Weird Wonders to Stem Lineages: The Second Reclassification of the Burgess Shale Fauna. Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part C 39 (3):298-313.
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