|Abstract||In the following we propose a variant of the frequency interpretation of probability of Richard von Mises; one of our aims is to address recent criticisms that have been formulated against this interpretation. Following von Mises, we will argue that (objective) probability can only be defined for events that can be repeated in similar conditions, and that exhibit ‘frequency stabilization’. The central idea of the present article is that the mentioned ‘conditions’ should be well-defined and ‘partitioned’. More precisely, we will divide probabilistic systems into object, environment, and probing subsystem, and show that such partitioning allows to solve problems. By the same token we will be able to derive a definition of what ‘similar events’ are – a problematic concept in traditional interpretations. Our general conclusion will be that the probability of an event or system is only defined if all subsystems that compose the latter are defined – in a slogan: probability is composed.|
|Keywords||Interpretation of Probability|
|External links||This entry has no external links. Add one.|
|Through your library||Only published papers are available at libraries|
Similar books and articles
Richard E. Neapolitan (1992). A Limiting Frequency Approach to Probability Based on the Weak Law of Large Numbers. Philosophy of Science 59 (3):389-407.
J. Ellenberg & E. Sober (2011). Objective Probabilities in Number Theory. Philosophia Mathematica 19 (3):308-322.
Neal Grossman (1972). Quantum Mechanics and Interpretations of Probability Theory. Philosophy of Science 39 (4):451-460.
Isabelle Drouet & Francesca Merlin (forthcoming). The Propensity Interpretation of Fitness and the Propensity Interpretation of Probability. Erkenntnis.
Robert C. Stalnaker (1970). Probability and Conditionals. Philosophy of Science 37 (1):64-80.
Niall Shanks (1993). Time and the Propensity Interpretation of Probability. Journal for General Philosophy of Science 24 (2):293 - 302.
Brian McGuinness (forthcoming). Wittgenstein on Probability. Grazer Philosophische Studien:159-174.
Carl G. Wagner (2007). The Smith-Walley Interpretation of Subjective Probability: An Appreciation. Studia Logica 86 (2):343 - 350.
John Meixner (1987). Frequencies and Possibility. Philosophy Research Archives 13:73-77.
Frederick Eberhardt (forthcoming). Reliability Via Synthetic a Priori: Reichenbach's Doctoral Thesis on Probability. Synthese.
Richard Otte (1987). A Theistic Conception of Probability. Faith and Philosophy 4 (4):427-447.
Added to index2010-11-30
Total downloads29 ( #43,142 of 556,909 )
Recent downloads (6 months)9 ( #8,510 of 556,909 )
How can I increase my downloads?