David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Erkenntnis 59 (3):349 - 364 (2003)
A simple rule of probability revision ensures that the final result of a sequence of probability revisions is undisturbed by an alteration in the temporal order of the learning prompting those revisions. This Uniformity Rule dictates that identical learning be reflected in identical ratios of certain new-to-old odds, and is grounded in the old Bayesian idea that such ratios represent what is learned from new experience alone, with prior probabilities factored out. The main theorem of this paper includes as special cases (i) Field's theorem on commuting probability-kinematical revisions and (ii) the equivalence of two strategies for generalizing Jeffrey's solution to the old evidence problem to the case of uncertain old evidence and probabilistic new explanation.
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
No references found.
Citations of this work BETA
Ilho Park (2012). Rescuing Reflection. Philosophy of Science 79 (4):473-489.
Similar books and articles
Carl G. Wagner (2003). Commuting Probability Revisions: The Uniformity Rule. [REVIEW] Erkenntnis 59 (3):349-364.
Carl G. Wagner (2002). Probability Kinematics and Commutativity. Philosophy of Science 69 (2):266-278.
Carl G. Wagner (1992). Generalized Probability Kinematics. Erkenntnis 36 (2):245 - 257.
Carl G. Wagner (2001). Old Evidence and New Explanation III. Philosophy of Science 68 (3):S165 - S175.
Glenn Shafer (1981). Jeffrey's Rule of Conditioning. Philosophy of Science 48 (3):337-362.
Peter Gärdenfors (1986). The Dynamics of Belief: Contractions and Revisions of Probability Functions. Topoi 5 (1):29-37.
Carl G. Wagner (1997). Old Evidence and New Explanation. Philosophy of Science 64 (4):677-691.
Richard C. Jeffrey (1992). Probability and the Art of Judgment. Cambridge University Press.
R. I. G. Hughes & Bas C. Van Fraassen (1984). Symmetry Arguments in Probability Kinematics. PSA: Proceedings of the Biennial Meeting of the Philosophy of Science Association 1984:851 - 869.
Keith Lehrer (1983). Rationality as Weighted Averaging. Synthese 57 (3):283 - 295.
Richard Swinburne (2008). Bayes's Theorem. Gogoa 8 (1):138.
Richard Bradley (2007). The Kinematics of Belief and Desire. Synthese 156 (3):513-535.
Added to index2011-05-29
Total downloads8 ( #178,926 of 1,101,810 )
Recent downloads (6 months)5 ( #68,160 of 1,101,810 )
How can I increase my downloads?