A solution to the cable guy paradox

Erkenntnis 71 (3):355 - 359 (2009)
Abstract
The Cable Guy will definitely come between 8 a.m. and 4 p.m., and I can bet on one of two possibilities: that he will arrive between 8 and 12, or between 12 and 4. Since I have no more information, it seems (eminently) plausible to suppose the two bets are equally attractive. Yet Hajek has presented a tantalising argument that purports to show that the later interval is, initial appearances to the contrary, more choice worthy. In this paper, I rebut the argument.
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References found in this work BETA
Richard Feldman (2006). Epistemological Puzzles About Disagreement. In Stephen Hetherington (ed.), Epistemology Futures. Oxford University Press. 216-236.
Alan Hájek (2005). The Cable Guy Paradox. Analysis 65 (286):112–119.
C. van Fraassen (1984). Belief and the Will. Journal of Philosophy 81 (5):235-256.
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