David Bourget (Western Ontario)
David Chalmers (ANU, NYU)
Rafael De Clercq
Jack Alan Reynolds
Learn more about PhilPapers
Synthese 83 (1):159 - 177 (1990)
In this paper, I examine the possibility of accounting for the rationality of belief-formation by utilising decision-theoretic considerations. I consider the utilities to be used by such an approach, propose to employ verisimilitude as a measure of cognitive utility, and suggest a natural way of generalising any measure of verisimilitude defined on propositions to partial belief-systems, a generalisation which may enable us to incorporate Popper's insightful notion of verisimilitude within a Bayesian framework. I examine a dilemma generated by the decision-theoretic procedure and consider an adequacy condition (immodesty) designed to ameliorate one of its horns. Finally, I argue in a sceptical vein that no adequate verisimilitude measure can be used decision-theoretically.
|Keywords||No keywords specified (fix it)|
|Categories||categorize this paper)|
Setup an account with your affiliations in order to access resources via your University's proxy server
Configure custom proxy (use this if your affiliation does not provide a proxy)
|Through your library|
References found in this work BETA
Rudolf Carnap (1952). The Continuum of Inductive Methods. [Chicago]University of Chicago Press.
Isaac Levi (1967/1973). Gambling with Truth. Cambridge,Mit Press.
David Lewis (1971). Immodest Inductive Methods. Philosophy of Science 38 (1):54-63.
David K. Lewis (1973). Counterfactuals. Blackwell Publishers.
David Miller (1974). Popper's Qualitative Theory of Verisimilitude. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 25 (2):166-177.
Citations of this work BETA
No citations found.
Similar books and articles
J. David Velleman (1993). The Story of Rational Action. Philosophical Topics 21 (1):229-254.
John R. Welch (2011). Decision Theory and Cognitive Choice. European Journal for Philosophy of Science 1 (2):147-172.
Steven Daskal (2010). Absolute Value as Belief. Philosophical Studies 148 (2):221 - 229.
John Shoemaker (2003). Epistemological Naturalism and Mark Kaplan's Decision Theory. Philo 6 (2):249-262.
Frank Arntzenius (2008). Gunk, Topology and Measure. In Dean Zimmerman (ed.), Oxford Studies in Metaphysics: Volume 4. Oup Oxford.
Michael J. Shaffer (2009). Decision Theory, Intelligent Planning and Counterfactuals. Minds and Machines 19 (1):61-92.
John L. Pollock, Against Optimality: Logical Foundations for Decision-Theoretic Planning in Autonomous Agents.
Isabelle Brocas (2011). Dynamic Inconsistency and Choice. Theory and Decision 71 (3):343-364.
Added to index2009-01-28
Total downloads12 ( #182,306 of 1,696,507 )
Recent downloads (6 months)2 ( #246,076 of 1,696,507 )
How can I increase my downloads?