Graduate studies at Western
Erkenntnis 71 (3):345 - 354 (2009)
|Abstract||It is widely held that, as Morgenbesser’s case is usually taken to show, considerations of causal or probabilistic dependence should enter into the evaluation of counterfactuals. This paper challenges that idea. I present a modified version of Morgenbesser’s case and show how probabilistic approaches to counterfactuals are in serious trouble. Specifically, I show how probabilistic approaches run into a dilemma in characterizing probabilistic independence. The modified case also illustrates a difficulty in defining causal independence. I close with a suggestion for a strategy to handle this difficulty.|
|Keywords||Counterfactuals Morgenbesser’s Case Causal Independence Probabilistic Independence|
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