Morgenbesser's Coin, counterfactuals, and causal versus probabilistic independence

Erkenntnis 71 (3):345 - 354 (2009)
Abstract
It is widely held that, as Morgenbesser’s case is usually taken to show, considerations of causal or probabilistic dependence should enter into the evaluation of counterfactuals. This paper challenges that idea. I present a modified version of Morgenbesser’s case and show how probabilistic approaches to counterfactuals are in serious trouble. Specifically, I show how probabilistic approaches run into a dilemma in characterizing probabilistic independence. The modified case also illustrates a difficulty in defining causal independence. I close with a suggestion for a strategy to handle this difficulty.
Keywords Counterfactuals  Morgenbesser’s Case  Causal Independence  Probabilistic Independence
Categories (categorize this paper)
Options
 Save to my reading list
Follow the author(s)
My bibliography
Export citation
Find it on Scholar
Edit this record
Mark as duplicate
Revision history Request removal from index
 
Download options
PhilPapers Archive


Upload a copy of this paper     Check publisher's policy on self-archival     Papers currently archived: 9,360
External links
  • Through your library Configure
    References found in this work BETA
    Frank Jackson (1977). A Causal Theory of Counterfactuals. Australasian Journal of Philosophy 55 (1):3 – 21.
    Igal Kvart (1994). Causal Independence. Philosophy of Science 61 (1):96-114.
    David Lewis (2000). Causation as Influence. Journal of Philosophy 97 (4):182-197.

    View all 12 references

    Citations of this work BETA

    No citations found.

    Similar books and articles
    Analytics

    Monthly downloads

    Added to index

    2009-08-29

    Total downloads

    54 ( #24,578 of 1,089,057 )

    Recent downloads (6 months)

    3 ( #30,944 of 1,089,057 )

    How can I increase my downloads?

    My notes
    Sign in to use this feature


    Discussion
    Start a new thread
    Order:
    There  are no threads in this forum
    Nothing in this forum yet.