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Reasoning defeasibly about probabilities

Synthese 181 (2):317 - 352 (2011)

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  1. Change in View: Principles of Reasoning.Gilbert Harman - 1986 - Cambridge, MA, USA: MIT Press.
    Change in View offers an entirely original approach to the philosophical study of reasoning by identifying principles of reasoning with principles for revising one's beliefs and intentions and not with principles of logic. This crucial observation leads to a number of important and interesting consequences that impinge on psychology and artificial intelligence as well as on various branches of philosophy, from epistemology to ethics and action theory. Gilbert Harman is Professor of Philosophy at Princeton University. A Bradford Book.
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  • A propensity interpretation of probability.Karl Popper - 2010 - In Antony Eagle (ed.), Philosophy of Probability: Contemporary Readings. New York: Routledge.
  • The logic of scientific discovery.Karl Raimund Popper - 1934 - New York: Routledge. Edited by Hutchinson Publishing Group.
    Described by the philosopher A.J. Ayer as a work of 'great originality and power', this book revolutionized contemporary thinking on science and knowledge. Ideas such as the now legendary doctrine of 'falsificationism' electrified the scientific community, influencing even working scientists, as well as post-war philosophy. This astonishing work ranks alongside The Open Society and Its Enemies as one of Popper's most enduring books and contains insights and arguments that demand to be read to this day.
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  • Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference.Judea Pearl - 1988 - Morgan Kaufmann.
    The book can also be used as an excellent text for graduate-level courses in AI, operations research, or applied probability.
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  • The theory of probability.Hans Reichenbach - 1949 - Berkeley,: University of California Press.
    We must restrict to mere probability not only statements of comparatively great uncertainty, like predictions about the weather, where we would cautiously ...
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  • The continuum of inductive methods.Rudolf Carnap - 1952 - [Chicago]: University of Chicago Press.
  • Scientific explanation.Richard Bevan Braithwaite - unknown
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  • Probability and the Logic of Rational Belief.Henry Ely Kyburg - 1961 - Middletown, CT, USA: Wesleyan University Press.
  • The logic of chance.John Venn - 1876 - Mineola, N.Y.: Dover Publications.
    No mathematical background is necessary to appreciate this classic of probability theory, which remains unsurpassed in its clarity, readability, and sheer charm. Its author, British logician John Venn (1834-1923), popularized the famous Venn Diagrams that are commonly used in teaching elementary mathematics.
     
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  • Fact, Fiction, and Forecast.Nelson Goodman - 1965 - Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press.
  • Aspects of inductive logic.Jaakko Hintikka - 1967 - Amsterdam,: North Holland Pub. Co.. Edited by Patrick Suppes.
  • Causal necessity: a pragmatic investigation of the necessity of laws.Brian Skyrms - 1980 - New Haven: Yale University Press.
  • Unfair to frequencies.Lawrence Sklar - 1973 - Journal of Philosophy 70 (2):41-52.
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  • Is probability a dispositional property?Lawrence Sklar - 1970 - Journal of Philosophy 67 (11):355-366.
  • The propensity interpretation of probability.Karl R. Popper - 1959 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 10 (37):25-42.
  • A set of independent axioms for probability.Karl R. Popper - 1938 - Mind 47 (186):275-277.
  • Nomic Probability and the Foundations of Induction.John L. Pollock - 1990 - New York, NY, USA: Oxford University Press.
    In this book Pollock deals with the subject of probabilistic reasoning, making general philosophical sense of objective probabilities and exploring their ...
  • Foundations for direct inference.John L. Pollock - 1994 - Theory and Decision 17 (3):221-255.
  • Defeasible Reasoning.John L. Pollock - 1987 - Cognitive Science 11 (4):481-518.
    There was a long tradition in philosophy according to which good reasoning had to be deductively valid. However, that tradition began to be questioned in the 1960’s, and is now thoroughly discredited. What caused its downfall was the recognition that many familiar kinds of reasoning are not deductively valid, but clearly confer justification on their conclusions. Here are some simple examples.
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  • A theory of direct inference.John L. Pollock - 1983 - Theory and Decision 15 (1):29-95.
  • The foundations of philosophical semantics.John L. Pollock - 1984 - Princeton University Press. Edited by Lloyd Humberstone.
    Princeton University Press, 984. This book is out of print, but can be downloaded as a pdf file (3.9 MB).
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  • The Enterprise of Knowledge: An Essay on Knowledge, Credal Probability, and Chance.Isaac Levi - 1980 - MIT Press.
    This major work challenges some widely held positions in epistemology - those of Peirce and Popper on the one hand and those of Quine and Kuhn on the other.
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  • The Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference.Henry Ely Kyburg - 1974 - Dordrecht and Boston: Reidel.
    At least one of these conceptions of probability underlies any theory of statistical inference (or, to use Neyman's phrase, 'inductive behavior'). ...
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  • Propensities and probabilities.Review author[S.]: Henry E. Kyberg - 1974 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 25 (4):358-375.
  • Propensities and Probabilities. [REVIEW]Henry E. Kyberg - 1974 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 25 (4):358-375.
  • An algorithm for probabilistic planning.Nicholas Kushmerick, Steve Hanks & Daniel S. Weld - 1995 - Artificial Intelligence 76 (1-2):239-286.
  • Probability and induction II.William Kneale - 1949 - Mind 60 (239):310-317.
  • Probability and Induction. By William Kneale, Fellow of Exeter College and Lecturer in Philosophy in the University of Oxford. [REVIEW]Edmund Whittaker - 1949 - Philosophy 24 (91):372-374.
  • The Logic of Decision.Richard C. Jeffrey - 1965 - New York, NY, USA: University of Chicago Press.
    "[This book] proposes new foundations for the Bayesian principle of rational action, and goes on to develop a new logic of desirability and probabtility."—Frederic Schick, _Journal of Philosophy_.
  • A Two-Dimensional Continuum of Inductive Methods.Jaakko Hintikka & Patrick Suppes - 1970 - Journal of Symbolic Logic 35 (3):455-455.
  • An analysis of first-order logics of probability.Joseph Y. Halpern - 1990 - Artificial Intelligence 46 (3):311-350.
  • The Scientific Image.William Demopoulos & Bas C. van Fraassen - 1982 - Philosophical Review 91 (4):603.
  • The Logical Foundations of Probability. [REVIEW]Rudolf Carnap - 1950 - Journal of Philosophy 60 (13):362-364.
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  • From statistical knowledge bases to degrees of belief.Fahiem Bacchus, Adam J. Grove, Joseph Y. Halpern & Daphne Koller - 1996 - Artificial Intelligence 87 (1-2):75-143.
  • The Foundations of Statistics.Leonard J. Savage - 1954 - Wiley Publications in Statistics.
    Classic analysis of the subject and the development of personal probability; one of the greatest controversies in modern statistcal thought.
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  • Cognitive Carpentry: A Blueprint for how to Build a Person.John L. Pollock - 1995 - MIT Press.
    "A sequel to Pollock's How to Build a Person, this volume builds upon that theoretical groundwork for the implementation of rationality through artificial ...
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  • A Mathematical Theory of Evidence.Glenn Shafer - 1976 - Princeton University Press.
    Degrees of belief; Dempster's rule of combination; Simple and separable support functions; The weights of evidence; Compatible frames of discernment; Support functions; The discernment of evidence; Quasi support functions; Consonance; Statistical evidence; The dual nature of probable reasoning.
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  • Thinking About Acting: Logical Foundations for Rational Decision Making.John L. Pollock - 2006 - Oxford, England: Oxford University Press, Usa. Edited by John Pollock.
    Pollock argues that theories of ideal rationality are largely irrelevant to the decision making of real agents. Thinking about Acting aims to provide a theory of "real rationality.".
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  • On the Mathematical Foundations of Theoretical Statistics.Ronald A. Fisher - 1922 - Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series A 222:309--368.
  • Fact, Fiction, and Forecast.Nelson Goodman - 1955 - Philosophy 31 (118):268-269.
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  • Logical Foundations of Probability.Rudolf Carnap - 1950 - Mind 62 (245):86-99.
     
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  • The Propensity Interpretation of the Calculus of Probability, and the Quantum Theory.Karl R. Popper - 1957 - In Stephan Körner (ed.), Observation and Interpretation. Butterworths. pp. 65--70.
  • Change in View: Principles of Reasoning, Cambridge, Mass.Gilbert Harman - 1986 - Behaviorism 16 (1):93-96.
     
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  • The Logic of Chance.John Venn - 1866 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 14 (53):73-74.
     
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  • The Foundations of Statistics.Leonard J. Savage - 1956 - Philosophy of Science 23 (2):166-166.
     
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  • The Logic of Scientific Discovery.K. Popper - 1959 - British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 10 (37):55-57.
     
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  • The Continuum of Inductive Methods.Rudolf Carnap - 1953 - Philosophy 28 (106):272-273.
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  • Human Knowledge, Its Scope and Limits.Bertrand Russell - 1949 - Mind 58 (231):369-378.
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