Search results for 'Nassim Taleb' (try it on Scholar)

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Profile: Nassim Nicholas Taleb (New York University)
  1. Constantine Sandis & Nassim Taleb (2008). NassimTaleb in Conversation with Constantine Sandis. Philosophy Now (Sep/Oct):24.score: 1140.0
    COnstantien Sandis speaks to Nassim Taleb about inductive knowledge,black swans, Hume, Popper, and Wittgenstein.
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  2. Nassim N. Taleb, The Future Has Thicker Tails Than the Past: Model Error as Branching Counterfactuals.score: 240.0
    Ex ante predicted outcomes should be interpreted as counterfactuals (potential histories), with errors as the spread between outcomes. But error rates have error rates. We reapply measurements of uncertainty about the estimation errors of the estimation errors of an estimation treated as branching counterfactuals. Such recursions of epistemic uncertainty have markedly different distributial properties from conventional sampling error, and lead to fatter tails in the projections than in past realizations. Counterfactuals of error rates always lead to fat tails, regardless of (...)
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  3. Scott Althaus, Bryan Caplan, Jeffrey Friedman, Ilya Somin & Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2008). Roundtable 1: Public Ignorance: Rational, Irrational, or Inevitable? Critical Review 20 (4):423-444.score: 240.0
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  4. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (2009). Finiteness of Variance is Irrelevant in the Practice of Quantitative Finance. Complexity 14 (3):66-76.score: 240.0
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  5. Nassim N. Taleb & Avital Pilpel (2007). Epistemology and Risk Management. Risk and Regulation 13:6--7.score: 240.0
  6. Mark Blyth (2009). Coping with the Black Swan: The Unsettling World of Nassim Taleb. Critical Review 21 (4):447-465.score: 180.0
    ABSTRACT Nassim Taleb rightly points out that although people may acknowledge in the abstract that the world is uncertain, they still behave as if a large enough sample size is all that is needed to predict, and model, the future. He also rightly notes that ever?increasing quantities of information are relevant only in simple situations, such as in predicting the range of human height, but are misleading in more random arenas, such as financial markets. However, while Taleb (...)
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  7. Constantine Sandis (2008). A Conversation with Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Philosophy Now 69:26-28.score: 120.0
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  8. Eleni Panagiotarakou (2013). Anti-Fragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Philosophy Now 97:45-46.score: 120.0
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  9. Robert Jervis (2009). Black Swans in Politics. Critical Review 21 (4):475-489.score: 30.0
    ABSTRACT We like to believe that our world is regular, that we can predict it fairly well, and that we can control the risks we run. Nassim Taleb argues that we are fooling ourselves and that the course of history is driven by rare and extreme events, which he calls Black Swans. There is much to this, but scholars?at least in political science?are less oblivious to the problem than he believes. More thought needs to be given to hard (...)
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  10. Jochen Runde (2009). Dissecting the Black Swan. Critical Review 21 (4):491-505.score: 30.0
    ABSTRACT What constitutes a Black Swan? And under what conditions may a Black Swan be expected to arise? As Nassim Taleb describes it, a Black Swan is an event that displays three key properties, the two most important of which are that: (1) it is not even imagined as a possibility prior to its occurrence; and (2) it is in some way significant in its impact. It follows that whether or not an event counts as a Black Swan (...)
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  11. Gene Callahan (2009). History is Not Historicism. Critical Review 21 (4):467-474.score: 30.0
    ABSTRACT Nassim Taleb?s dismissal of history as based on the ?narrative fallacy??which reads our present knowledge of past events into our reconstruction of the past?is based on a fundamental misconception of what historians actually do. Historians do not, as Taleb presumes, try to infer general, predictive laws from ?hard? facts, as do natural scientists; instead their aim is to discover the causes of unique historical facts among antecedent facts. This is no different, in principle, from ?narrating? the (...)
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  12. Victoria Sánchez Antelo, Mònica Plana, Fátima Taleb, Isidre Ferreté, Hassan Hammich, Muniba Munir, Josep Palau, Antonio de la Rosa, Pilar Laporta & Mònica Tolsanas (2008). Gramáticas de la convivencia. Estudio sobre la convivencia en La Salut y Sant Joan de Llefià, Badalona. Polis 20.score: 30.0
    Los procesos migratorios suponen repensar las relaciones, tránsitos y vivencias de las comunidades receptoras. En este sentido, el análisis de los escenarios de convivencia urbana implica redescubrir las historias viejas y nuevas de la inmigración, de la construcción del barrio, de la conformación de sus actores colectivos y de los espacios urbanos comunes. En el análisis de los escenarios de convivencia más conflictivos, encontramos giros discursivos que buscan responsabilizar a la inmigración reciente de problemáticas estructurales que se viven como irremediables. (...)
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  13. Taleb Durgahee (1997). Reflective Practice: Nursing Ethics Through Story Telling. Nursing Ethics 4 (2):135-146.score: 3.0
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  14. Nassim Bravo Jordán (2009). Entre la polémica y el conservadurismo. Alianzas y enemistades en "La disputa entre la vieja y la nueva jabonería. Revista de Filosofia 41 (124):49-60.score: 3.0
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